Daily trading review from Masterforex-V

[ADUNBS FX]

2 May 2007

Forecast hints.


Comments

After Monday's movement.
GBP fulfilled its 5-th subvawe of a "C" wave insude a "B" wave.
Then I'm expecting fulfillment of the 5-th subwave on m5 of the 1-st wave of "C" wave.
Conditions for the 4-th wave on m5 are done.
BUT conditions for the 5-th wave on m1 are fulfilled as well. It's shown by AO divergention.
After this movement should be a corrective 2-d wave of the "C" wave.

I'm not advising to sell at the end of the 1-st subwave of the "C" wave as it could be made hanging for a long time.
But a buy is more actual as the future up movement could be prolongation of the 5-th up wave or the 2-d subwave of the "C" wave on H4.

Yours faithfully, ADUNBS.

[ADUNBS FX]

4 May 2007
Forecast hints.


Comments

It was drawn the 1-st subwave inside the 3-d wave on H1of the "C" wave on H4 during yesterday's movement,
The down movement is fulfillment of the "C" wave on H4.
Up movement is breaking the 1-st subwave and forming of the 1-st wave for targets fulfillment by the 5-th wave on D1.
It's expecting important news tomorrow. So, it could be a big movement.


Yours faithfully, ADUNBS.

[ADUNBS FX]

10 May 2007

Forecast hints.

Comments

For a variant upwards GBP should wait for EUR while EUR will has done its targets below. There is a variant of deceitful movement for catching of postponed orders beyond fractals.
If it goes upwards, it will be the 3-d wave.

A down variant is prolongation of the H1 down trend.
It will be the 3-d subwave of the "C" wave on H4.

[ADUNBS FX]

17 May 2007
Forecast hints.

Comments

1. D1 - fulfillment of the minimal conditions for the 4-th wave on D1 (corrective movement downwards from 18.04.2007 and AO was under 0)
2. H4 - divergention

I.e. at the present moment: Sell is limited by the 5-th subwave of the "C" wave on H4 i.e sell is possible only in case of coincident movement of allies and a strict stop.

A variant upwards is a ouncture and fulfillment of the 5-th subwave with forming of a divergention or cutting the 5-th subwave.
But it's needed to have reasons for this variant, so it's possible to be "turbulence" for a while.

[ADUNBS FX]

23 May 2007

Forecast Hints.
Комментарии

At the present moment I'm awaiting for a turn as there are some preconditions for this
Particulary those ones I've talken for last days.
1. D1 - fulfillment of the minimal conditions for the 4-th wave on D1 (correction downwards from 18.04.2007 and getting AO below 0)
2. On H4 - divergention.

But this turn will happen when nobody expecting for it.
Small TFs.
It's seen that there is a wave upwards with (by the way) small recoils. It willl be a possible preconditon for trend changing.
A trip below the low is not likely to happen, but a recoil from this wave is very likely to be.
A sell variant is only for a short time and in case of finished movement of the 1-st wave with a divergention. If the prise reaches the 1-st target and doesn't want to go lower then it's better to close your sell.
A buy variant – is very tempting. But we have to trace the 2-d wave that we could take the whole 3-d wave.
Particulary, this recoil could be a very deep on purpose to gather as many sellers as possible.

[ADUNBS FX]

24 May 2007

Forecast Hints.

Comments

Preconditions for a change of a long-term trend are lasting
1. D1 - fulfillment of the minimal conditions for the 4-th wave on D1 (correction downwards from 18.04.2007 and getting AO below 0)
2. On H4 - divergention.

At the present moment we have the 1-st wave - the 1-st hope.
Small TFs.
It will be forming of the 5-th up wave on m15 and then a recoil or it will go straight away.
Or it will be finishing of the 1-st wave on H1 and then it will be the 2-d wave with a deep recoil on purpose to catch sellers as many as possible.
A sell variant is advisable in the 5-th subwave on h1
A buy variant - from the finished 3-waved movement.

[ADUNBS FX]

28 May 2007

Forecast Hints.

Supports

1.9828 = minimum
1.9800 = 162% from the 1-st down wave on H1 1.9836-92
1.9786 = 162% from the 1-st subwave 1.9828-87 + 50% bullish H4
1.9762 = 200% + 62% H4
1.9728 = 262% + 76%

Resistances
Upwards - puncture of a resistance on h1 1.9892
Conditions
* puncture of 1.9892 by GBP
* POWERFUL turn upwards of allies

* 1.9894 = maximum 23.05.2007
* 1.9903 = 50% D1 1.9676-2.0133
* 1.9955 = 62% D1 1.9676-2.0133
* 2.0024 = 76% D1 1.9676-2.0133 + 162% from H4 1.9676-1.9892


Comments

Preconditions for a change of a long-term trend are lasting
1. D1 - fulfillment of the minimal conditions for the 4-th wave on D1 (correction downwards from 18.04.2007 and getting AO below 0)
We'll add to the 2-d sign
2. On H4 - there are first signs of changing of the long-term (ZIFRAS on H4 upwards).
* an up zigzag on H4 is higher than the previous one
* look at the powerful body of AO above 0

The 3-d sign
3. H1 =
* a powerful 3-waved upwards
* from 1.9892 a correction is going downwards

For a buy variant it's needed to wait for a 5-waved movement of a "C" wave and then go for a buy.
Why from there? Because the up movement could be just the 5-th wave on H1. So there is a chance to hang with this buy for the whole 2-d wave on h4.
For a sell variant - this variant is very hard as the price can spurt upwards very fast. This variant is only with strict stops + fulfillment of the "C" wave on H4.
It's not advisable to make a sell as it would be hanging for a long time.

[ADUNBS FX]

4th of June 2007


Forecast/prompting



Resistances
* 1.9897/1.9905 = resistance of H4, its break equals 3rd wave (or С) upward at H4
* 1.9960 = 62% D1 1.9676-2.0133
* 2.0025/30 = 162% of 1st wave H4 1.9676-1.9897
* 2.0125/33 = 200% of 1st wave H4 1.9676-1.9897 + D1 max

Supports

1.9732 = H4 min
1.9718/23 = reminding a trap
1.9676 = D1 min (trap 1.9661 = 50% of D1 1.9183-2.0133)
1.9624 = 162% of 1st wave H4 1.9732-1.9897
1.9550 = 200% of 1st wave 1.9732-1.9897 + 62% of D1 1.9183-2.0133


Comments:

Variant – Change of midterm trend and development of strong impulse upwards.

Variant – continuing flat downward.

At the moment, Sell is absolutely undesirable or only with tough stops.
”Buy” variant looks like applicable, but surprises are also possible (in order to change good position into unexpected).

+ focus on EUR, as it will show what market is supposed to do next.

[ADUNBS FX]

20 June 2007

Forecast hints.

Resistances
Look at the chart

Supports
Also at the chart, but supports are local.

comments

A variant upwards - it's identification of the 3-d wave + synchronous movement of allies. There is only one clutter: GBP has conditions for the fast leap, but EUR hasn't. So they are in a corridor of identification now, if it will be a 3-d wave or a "C" wave.

A variant downwards – it's identification of the "C" wave. Or as a variant: a false up puncture, stops gathering and downwards then.