Trader456's trading ideas

[trader456]

EURJPY is back into the triangle range, so there is a high chance of rebounding back up towards 169.40 level.

Bought 50,000 EURJPY at 168.53
Stop level at 167.80
Target level at 169.14

[trader456]

Often at the start of a new week, I will analyse what is the direction of USD and stock market. This is because this will affect all the major currencies and JPY currency pairs.

My view for this week is that USD will continue to weaken due to more fear in the US financial sector and stock market should remain week as there is no catalyst for it to rebound.

To tap on USD weakness, I had bought AUD/USD. In my view, AUD continues to remain the high yield currency with the strongest fundamental.

Bought 100,000 AUD/USD at 0.9686
Stop level at 0.9590
Target level at 0.9782

Chart: Forex and Binary Trading: Tap on US Dollar weakness this week

[trader456]

Originally Posted by trader456

Often at the start of a new week, I will analyse what is the direction of USD and stock market. This is because this will affect all the major currencies and JPY currency pairs.

My view for this week is that USD will continue to weaken due to more fear in the US financial sector and stock market should remain week as there is no catalyst for it to rebound.

To tap on USD weakness, I had bought AUD/USD. In my view, AUD continues to remain the high yield currency with the strongest fundamental.

Bought 100,000 AUD/USD at 0.9686
Stop level at 0.9590
Target level at 0.9782

Chart: Forex and Binary Trading: Tap on US Dollar weakness this week

Strong resistance at 0.9742, so I decide to take profit first. Sold at 0.9706, profit is US$200.

[trader456]

US Treasury Henry Paulson said US government agencies will provide liquidity and capital support to Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. This signals to me that they will need to print more money. Hence USD will continue to go weaker and precious metals will rise.

Bought 1 lot of silver at 19.14
Stop level at 18.60
Target level at 20.00
Value of 1 point is US$1000

[trader456]

Oil prices tumbled Tuesday as U.S. stocks sold off amid worries about the nation's economic health. Prices dropped more than $10 a barrel from their highest point of the day. At midday, light, sweet crude fell $6.27 to $138.91 in an extremely volatile session.

I think this is a good opportunity to buy oil after the huge drop within a very short period of time. In my view the drop is not due to fundamental, it is market overreacting to Ben Bernanke's speech.

Bought 1 lot of supermini oil at 138.56
Stop level at 134.50
Target level at 144.10
Value of 1 point is US$100

Chart: Oil Trading: Oil prices plunge more than $10 a barrel

[trader456]

Originally Posted by trader456

US Treasury Henry Paulson said US government agencies will provide liquidity and capital support to Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. This signals to me that they will need to print more money. Hence USD will continue to go weaker and precious metals will rise.

Bought 1 lot of silver at 19.14
Stop level at 18.60
Target level at 20.00
Value of 1 point is US$1000

Today I had bought 1 lot of silver at 19.14, stop level at 18.60, target level at 20.00.

Oil price had plunged $10 pulling down precious metals as well.

Silver went below 18.60, so my stop was triggered. Loss is US$540.

[trader456]

My previous silver trade was stopped out. But in my opinion, getting stopped out is not the end. Since I am bullish on silver, I should buy again at lower level or at more comfortable level.

Getting stopped out does not mean that my view is wrong, it just that I had entered at the wrong entry point.

Bought 1 lot of silver at 18.96
Stop loss level at 18.40
Target level at 20.00
Value of 1 point is US$1000

[trader456]

Originally Posted by trader456

Oil prices tumbled Tuesday as U.S. stocks sold off amid worries about the nation's economic health. Prices dropped more than $10 a barrel from their highest point of the day. At midday, light, sweet crude fell $6.27 to $138.91 in an extremely volatile session.

I think this is a good opportunity to buy oil after the huge drop within a very short period of time. In my view the drop is not due to fundamental, it is market overreacting to Ben Bernanke's speech.

Bought 1 lot of supermini oil at 138.56
Stop level at 134.50
Target level at 144.10
Value of 1 point is US$100

Chart: Oil Trading: Oil prices plunge more than $10 a barrel

Oil price fell below 134.50 due to rising US oil inventory, so my stop was triggered. Loss was US$406.35.

[trader456]

1. EURJPY had fallen sharply since 14 July. It meets with some support at 165.60 and seems like rebounding.

Bought 50,000 EURJPY at 165.84
Stop level at 165.00
Target level at 166.60

Chart: Forex and Binary Trading: EURJPY downturn is over done


2. Downtrend maintains for EURGBP

Shorted 50,000 EURGBP at 0.7936
Stop level at 0.7950
Target level at 0.7907

Chart: Forex and Binary Trading: Shorted 50,000 EURGBP at 0.7936

[trader456]

Originally Posted by trader456

1. EURJPY had fallen sharply since 14 July. It meets with some support at 165.60 and seems like rebounding.

Bought 50,000 EURJPY at 165.84
Stop level at 165.00
Target level at 166.60

Chart: Forex and Binary Trading: EURJPY downturn is over done


2. Downtrend maintains for EURGBP

Shorted 50,000 EURGBP at 0.7936
Stop level at 0.7950
Target level at 0.7907

Chart: Forex and Binary Trading: Shorted 50,000 EURGBP at 0.7936

1. Yesterday I had bought 50,000 EURJPY at 165.84, stop level at 165.00, target level at 166.60.

This morning USDJPY started to fall, pulling EURJPY down as well, so decide to take profit.

Sold off at 166.06, profit is US$108.98.


2. Last night I shorted 50,000 EURGBP at 0.7936, stop level at 0.7950, target level at 0.7907.

Today EURGBP started to rebound slightly so I decided to take profit.

Bought back at 0.7920, profit is US$162.64.