Dollar under continuing pressure

[Libros]

Originally Posted by exni

both are on it !! )) usually one against the other....CBs dont care about when or how, they just step in whenever they feel like it .... specs (big ones) try and find CBs failure, like macro distortion and arbitrage....but they are always interacting.

cheers

exni

CB don't care? really?

i've read an article on forexnews said:"US dollar weakening because of trader attack" what it means?

ah, if i can ask you one more question.
no one can answer for this question until now. hope you may want to answer.

this is fantasy story, but what if this happen in real life.

when trader(groups or single or mass-no matter-) can make -let's say 100 billion dollar a day- who is the loser? i doubt if only from loser trader.
is it central bank(whose have the currency)?

[scorpion]

Originally Posted by Libros

>> when trader(groups or single or mass-no matter-) can make -let's say 100 billion dollar a day- who is the loser?

Central banks absorb most of the losses, then speculators.

[exni]

Originally Posted by Libros

CB don't care? really?

i've read an article on forexnews said:"US dollar weakening because of trader attack" what it means?

ah, if i can ask you one more question.
no one can answer for this question until now. hope you may want to answer.

this is fantasy story, but what if this happen in real life.

when trader(groups or single or mass-no matter-) can make -let's say 100 billion dollar a day- who is the loser? i doubt if only from loser trader.
is it central bank(whose have the currency)?

it would depend who is the Counterparty, meaning how the profits are made, but of course as from a certain level, due to the profits made that moved the markets in one direction, central banks would take it in the chin and or currency stability would have to intervene. we are in a pool : there s a definite volume of water, so it is a "win-lose" situation -- this is why liquidity injection creates inflation : this is because you have more money "chasing" the same number of goods / services.

example : interest rates are rising making few $ billion worth of Options on futures contracts worthless, or exotic financial instruments worth close to zero : you have a counterparty ( a creditor) or a clearing house (collateral, whose mission is to provide liquidity, so it has to take the loss) : result is that market on those instruments will drop ... with a panic selling.

exni

[Libros]

for forex what make liquidity is bank and the heart of bank is CB.
so the answer is inflation.
so this is the point what i want to discuss. is it us dollar weakening bcs of inflation made by speculator? not from fundamental blablabla...
think about this possibility.

[exni]

Libros,

Inflation is a monetary phenomenum, only-- which means only institution dealing with currency issuance are involved in inflation : CBs through what is called fractional reserves....
Speculators are just, as their names say, speculators : they try and make a profit out of currency moves, through technicals or fundamentals signals--
thus the US$$ is being inflated and thus debased according to CBs money issuance which inflate the US$$ base and thus triggers more money "chasing" fewer goods = higher good and service prices!
Speculators and banks (markat makers, instit. traders) influence currency value, not currency base, a money is just the reflection of a country's foreign policy and economic situation....hope i was clear enough...

cheers
exni

[glenn5t]

I trade off the charts and while I agree the Cable is over bought I cant agrue with what I see on the 4hr...

Glenn