#2351 (permalink)  
Old 10-10-2011, 09:46 AM
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Some USD pairs regaining a little ground as euphoric pop up from Merkozy wearing off.

EUR/CAD hit Mars 45/Moon 180 intersection at 09:10 and immediately bounced down to its +31.4 (within 2 pips), marking 1.3940 during 09:15.

AUD/USD bounced off -25 to intersection where it lies now.

GBP/USD bounced off -31.4 but probably tied to EUR/USD, which is trying to retrace from intersection and SDC upper channel.

SPX has no direction, while at intersection.
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  #2352 (permalink)  
Old 10-10-2011, 03:54 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fxbaja View Post
Some USD pairs regaining a little ground as euphoric pop up from Merkozy wearing off.

EUR/CAD hit Mars 45/Moon 180 intersection at 09:10 and immediately bounced down to its +31.4 (within 2 pips), marking 1.3940 during 09:15.

This was all it got, to 31.4.

AUD/USD bounced off -25 to intersection where it lies now.

That's as far as it got.

GBP/USD bounced off -31.4 but probably tied to EUR/USD, which is trying to retrace from intersection and SDC upper channel.

Only returned to intersection.

SPX has no direction, while at intersection.
Longs were good hedge against rising EURO due to Merkel/Sarkozy statement.

In retrospect, you can see the market react to that, and it was indeed "market-moving".

All 5 at resistance now at New york Noon.

(Lower right chart is EUR/CAD)
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File Type: jpg 10-10 Shakers.JPG (212.8 KB, 7 views)
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Usd/jpy
  #2353 (permalink)  
Old 10-10-2011, 04:14 PM
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Default Usd/jpy

USD/JPY gained to upside at intersection of Mars 270/Moon 45.

Pivoted 07:00 candle, per attached 1-hour chart.

Resistance, and bounce, off last week's Moon 90 after achieving +31.4.

***
Blue arrow points to last week's Shaker, Oct 6th 10:00 BUY, which was also successful to 61.8 of that plot (not shown).
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File Type: jpg USD-JPY Shaker 10-10.JPG (129.3 KB, 4 views)
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Eur/cad
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Old 10-10-2011, 05:56 PM
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Default Eur/cad

EUR/CAD Shaker OS

Mars 90/ Moon 225 intersection

The -25 overshoot entry level hit by 16:00 candle high 1.4060...precisely.

Bounce down to the +31.4 price level of 1.4026 during same candle period.

S/L at -40 price of 1.4069 + spread Risk = 14 pips.

Reward = 29 pips after deduction for spread.

R/R ratio = 2:1
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File Type: jpg EUR-CAD 10-10 OS.JPG (118.8 KB, 3 views)
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  #2355 (permalink)  
Old 10-10-2011, 05:59 PM
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Note that the top at the EUR/CAD was a 138.2 extension of BC swing:

High = Oct 10th 13:00 1.40402 Low = Oct 10th 13:00 1.39843
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Old 10-10-2011, 06:07 PM
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This series of shorts are not at dead center of intersection. However, fundamentals are the same.

These 2 examples are not overshoot entries, but entries at resistance.

Attached is split-screen. Left is GBP/USD 16:00 bounce off resistance, and looking to +31.4 level next.

Right is EUR/USD same, and has hit +31.4 and probing for more.
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File Type: jpg GBP-USD & EUR-USD.JPG (157.7 KB, 3 views)
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Shaker 5 pairs
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Old 10-10-2011, 07:33 PM
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Default Shaker 5 pairs

As U.S. winding down, here are the same 5 pairs (incl SPX500) which have declined from aforementioned resistance.

GBP/USD to +31.4
EUR/USD to next level down Mars 135/Moon 270, just above +61.8.
SPX500 beyond +31.4
AUD/USD to next level down Mars 315/Moon 90, just above +61.8
EUR/CAD to +31.4. This was the only OS trade.
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File Type: jpg 10-10 Shaker 5 pairs at 1930.JPG (202.4 KB, 5 views)
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  #2358 (permalink)  
Old 10-11-2011, 03:43 AM
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GannBox_144: Start June 7th, 2010 Low 1.18754 Height 36000 Width 720

APF: 1) July 27th High 2) Aug 29th High 3) Aug 4th Low

SDC: Aug 29th and Oct 4th

Believe we posted this GannBox_144 plot in November. After making a 127.2 extension to the upside on May 4th, 2011, pair consolidated.

Aug 29th was last High before major decline. We took this swing down for the SDC plot.

After marking low on Oct 4th, price vaulted back above red 1/1_angle2 0

Resistance now at SDC upper channel, same as APF upper fork, and GannBox blue 72 (50% of box).



Note: moving 1st date of SDC plot to May 4th produces interesting results. In this scenario, the mean (mid-channel) would be significant.
Attached Images
File Type: jpg EUR-USD Daily SDC & APF.JPG (132.4 KB, 5 views)

Last edited by fxbaja; 10-11-2011 at 03:45 AM.
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XAU-USD 10-6 Shaker
  #2359 (permalink)  
Old 10-11-2011, 06:57 AM
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Default XAU-USD 10-6 Shaker

Last Thursday Oct 6th Mars 90/Moon 270 intersection had 3-hour window as seen in circled dots.

We plot fib channel from Moon 225 pulling up to Moon 270. Gold (XAU_USD) and some other instruments work better at 45-degree intervals due to the spacing.

Horizontal fib plot:
Low = Oct 5th 09:00 1596.03 and High = Oct 6th 10:00 1652.88

  • Yellow arrow points to Oct 6th 13:00 dip to the -31.4 area. Next candle hit -40.

  • This was a 38.2% retrace of horizontal fib plot.

  • The RSI(4) registered oversold territory.

This was a Shaker OS trade, highlighted by additional tools.

BUY entry at -25 level price about 1636, including spread.
S/L -40 about 1630.
Risk = 6.00

TP1 = at +31.4 about 1645. R/R = 9/6 and 1.5:1
TP2 = at +61.8 about 1652 (and near High). R/R = 16/6 and 2.7:1
TP3 = at +100, same as Moon 315, about 1662. R/R = 4.3:1

Since this was a BUY, trailing stop with upslope of channel reduces S/L as time elapses.
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File Type: jpg XAU-USD 10-6 Shaker.JPG (147.7 KB, 6 views)
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Eur/cad
  #2360 (permalink)  
Old 10-11-2011, 07:19 AM
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Default Eur/cad

Same plot from yesterday, using Moon 270 pulling down to Moon 225.

Pair extended down to FC 100 after euphoria wore off end of U.S. session.

Subsequently, made a move up that was contained by the -40 during the last 2 candles 06:00-07:00. This is about the same as the previous week's Moon 270. Top also the 127.2 of BC swing.

Current 07:00 candle pausing at Moon 225.

****

If you make 200+ plots using this tool/methodology, you'll see that this revelation is very powerful (and free).


.
Attached Images
File Type: jpg EUR-CAD 10-11.JPG (151.6 KB, 4 views)

Last edited by fxbaja; 10-11-2011 at 07:28 AM.
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